29 Jun · 01:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ID
🇺🇦Ivan Demchenko
ELO 1558
FormLWLLL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Dukhovenko
OD
🇺🇦Oleksandr Dukhovenko
ELO 1838
FormWWLLL
23%
77%
🌟Dukhovenko covers set handicap as favourite 79% (39)
Fair odds · Dukhovenko
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~72 pts
1-3
29%
0-3
28%
2-3
20%
3-2
11%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+280
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+280)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)