28 Jun · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EO
🇺🇦Egor Oprishchenko
ELO 1508
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zhyrnov
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1539
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Zhyrnov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.