28 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Droshchynskyi
ELO 1549
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Droshchynskyi
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1545
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Droshchynskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (16)
Fair odds · Droshchynskyi
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.