29 Jun · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1536
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1561
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
🌟Emets stays under total as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 25% · 4.00· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+25
H2H2-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.