29 Jun · 09:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1470
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1486
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.