29 Jun · 09:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1442
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Leonenko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1479
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
🌟Leonenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (22)
Fair odds · Leonenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+37
H2H4-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.