29 Jun · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Khairov
ELO 1516
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Karpenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1570
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
🌟Khairov stays under total as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Karpenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+54
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)