29 Jun · 07:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1433
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Klymenko
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1431
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Kondratenko stays under total as underdog 64% (25)
Fair odds · Klymenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+2
H2H13-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.