29 Jun · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1536
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Emets
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Khairov
ELO 1516
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Khairov stays under total as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Emets
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+20
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.