29 Jun · 12:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1454
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vasyliev
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Vasyliev
ELO 1462
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Vasyliev
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+8
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.