29 Jun · 15:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1745
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Fedoryshyn
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fedoryshyn
ELO 1815
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Fedoryshyn
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H72-44
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (72-44)