29 Jun · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1524
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ivasiv
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Regush
ELO 1473
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Ivasiv
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)