29 Jun · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1594
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1627
FormWWWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+33
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.