29 Jun · 13:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇺🇦Ondrej Kaderabek
ELO 1554
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kaderabek
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1548
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rulc🌟Rulc covers set handicap as underdog 72% (29)
Fair odds · Kaderabek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+6
H2H11-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.