29 Jun · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1550
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Karpenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1570
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Karpenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+20
H2H11-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.