29 Jun · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DH
🇺🇦Dominik Horak
ELO 1538
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Senk
JS
🇺🇦Jakub Senk
ELO 1603
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Senk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)