29 Jun · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1536
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Emets
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1490
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Kolesnykov covers set handicap as underdog 77% (22)
Fair odds · Emets
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H18-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)