29 Jun · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1407
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skhabitskiy
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1470
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
🌟Stukalov covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)