29 Jun · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1510
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Prylepa
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1483
FormLWLLW
53%
47%
🌟Prylepa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (31)
Fair odds · Prylepa
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+27
H2H42-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.