29 Jun · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1565
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Melisek
MM
🇺🇦Martin Melisek
ELO 1629
FormLLLWW
43%
57%
🌟Mezera covers set handicap as underdog 95% (22)
Fair odds · Melisek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)