29 Jun · 12:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1480
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Treschetka
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1481
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Salivonchyk covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H55-55
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.