29 Jun · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1548
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rulc
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1516
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pisa🌟Pisa covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+32
H2H19-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.