29 Jun · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1560
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Stetsenko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1479
FormLLWWL
59%
41%
🌟Leonenko goes over total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)