29 Jun · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1369
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Matviichuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1382
FormLWLLL
49%
51%
🌟Matviichuk covers set handicap as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+13
H2H14-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.