29 Jun · 14:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1540
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hrybeniuk
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1553
FormWWWLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fashchevskyi🌟Fashchevskyi goes over total as underdog 78% (23)
Fair odds · Hrybeniuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+13
H2H14-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.