29 Jun · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1510
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Syksa
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1593
FormLWWLW
41%
59%
🌟Syksa goes over total as favourite 67% (42)
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~81 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H49-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-25)