29 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1341
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Matviichuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1382
FormLWLLL
46%
54%
⚡ Cover lean · Matviichuk🌟Matviichuk covers set handicap as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+41
H2H31-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.