29 Jun · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1440
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1495
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
🌟Kurtenko stays under total as favourite 67% (43)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+55
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)