29 Jun · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1440
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lipeiko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1487
FormLWLLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Lipeiko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H9-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)