29 Jun · 12:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1433
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skhabitskiy
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1470
FormWWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Klymenko covers set handicap as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+37
H2H10-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.