29 Jun · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1565
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Senk
JS
🇺🇦Jakub Senk
ELO 1603
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
🌟Mezera covers set handicap as underdog 95% (22)
Fair odds · Senk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+38
H2H12-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.