29 Jun · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1519
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kurylenko
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1451
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
🌟Kurylenko stays under total as favourite 64% (25)
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H44-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-27)