29 Jun · 09:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇺🇦Martin Melisek
ELO 1629
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Melisek
JS
🇺🇦Jakub Senk
ELO 1603
FormLWWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Melisek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.