29 Jun · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Budnikov
ELO 1514
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vorsuliak
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1584
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
🌟Budnikov covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Vorsuliak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H25-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)