29 Jun · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1382
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Matviichuk
VY
🇺🇦Viacheslav Yarovyi
ELO 1304
FormLWWWL
58%
42%
🌟Matviichuk covers set handicap as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)