29 Jun · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Budnikov
ELO 1514
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Budnikov
MK
🇺🇦Maksym Khomenko
ELO 1489
FormWLWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Budnikov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+25
H2H23-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.