29 Jun · 11:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1487
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1495
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Kurtenko stays under total as favourite 67% (43)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+8
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.