29 Jun · 13:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1495
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kurtenko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1479
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Leonenko🌟Leonenko goes over total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+16
H2H25-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.