29 Jun · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1369
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lysyi
VY
🇺🇦Viacheslav Yarovyi
ELO 1304
FormLWWWL
57%
43%
🌟Lysyi covers set handicap as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Lysyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)