29 Jun · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1542
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Strutinskiy
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1551
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Derevianko🌟Strutinskiy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (25)
Fair odds · Strutinskiy
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+9
H2H45-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.