29 Jun · 12:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1440
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mytsyk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1442
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (30)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+2
H2H29-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.