29 Jun · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1341
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lysyi
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1369
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
⚡ Cover lean · Lysyi🌟Lysyi covers set handicap as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Lysyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+28
H2H8-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.