29 Jun · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1468
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jnr
VK
🇺🇦Viktor Kucala
ELO 1393
FormLLWLW
58%
42%
🌟Kucala rarely covers set handicap as underdog 28% (18)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)