29 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1519
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kurylenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1483
FormLWLLW
54%
46%
🌟Kurylenko stays under total as favourite 64% (25)
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+36
H2H69-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.