29 Jun · 14:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1470
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skhabitskiy
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1431
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Kondratenko stays under total as underdog 64% (25)
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+39
H2H27-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.