29 Jun · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1490
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Khairov
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Khairov
ELO 1516
FormWLLLL
47%
53%
🌟Kolesnykov covers set handicap as underdog 77% (22)
Fair odds · Khairov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+26
H2H8-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.