29 Jun · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VV
🇺🇦Vladimir Voronenko
ELO 1454
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Hrabskyi
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1536
FormWWWLL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Voronenko🌟Hrabskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (25)
Fair odds · Hrabskyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H14-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)