29 Jun · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1542
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1627
FormWWWLL
41%
59%
🌟Derevianko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (47)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H4-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)