29 Jun · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1560
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Stetsenko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1487
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)