29 Jun · 10:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1480
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Salivonchyk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1454
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
🌟Salivonchyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Salivonchyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~72 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+26
H2H31-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.